Cerezo

5 - 0

Guangzhou

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.