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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 10am UK
Chengdu Sports Center

Shandong
3 - 1
Incheon United

Yuanyi (54'), Han-Jin (65' og.), Crysan (75' pen.)
Yuanyi (50'), Crysan (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Do-Hyuk (90+2')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shandong Taishan and Incheon United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 5-1 Henan
Saturday, November 4 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League

Incheon United

All competitions
Last Game: Incheon United 0-2 Shandong
Wednesday, October 25 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Incheon United had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Incheon United win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawIncheon United
60.44% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 21.95% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 17.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.8% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (0.2 0.2)46.81% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (0.187 0.19)69.07% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.088999999999999 0.09)15.04% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.46% (0.169 0.17)43.54% (-0.169 -0.17)
Incheon United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (0.099000000000004 0.1)40.2% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (0.088999999999999 0.09)76.84% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 60.44%
    Incheon United 17.6%
    Draw 21.95%
Shandong TaishanDrawIncheon United
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 60.44%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.95%
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.6%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 11am
Group Stage
Incheon United
0-2
Shandong

Mun (12'), Do-Hyuk (82'), Zheng (86')
Crysan (58'), Fellaini (87')
Lisheng (21'), Wenneng (53')
rhs 2.0
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