Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Incheon United had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Incheon United win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Incheon United
60.44% ( 0.07)	21.95% ( -0.05)	17.6% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.8% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

0.2)

46.81% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.93% (

0.19)

69.07% (

-0.19)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.96% (

0.09)

15.04% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.46% (

0.17)

43.54% (

-0.17)

Incheon United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.8% (

0.1)

40.2% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16% (

0.09)

76.84% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 60.44%

Incheon United 17.6%

Draw 21.95%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Incheon United
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.44%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.95%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.6%