AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 10am UK
Chengdu Sports Center
Shandong3 - 1Incheon United
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shandong Taishan and Incheon United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shandong 5-1 Henan
Saturday, November 4 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League
Saturday, November 4 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
59
Last Game: Incheon United 0-2 Shandong
Wednesday, October 25 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Wednesday, October 25 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Incheon United had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Incheon United win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Incheon United |
60.44% ( 0.07) | 21.95% ( -0.05) | 17.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
