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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Angola national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nacional de OMBAKA
Sudan national football team

Angola
2 - 1
Sudan

Mabululu (51' pen.), Nteka (81')
Karshom (39'), Carmo (54'), Nteka (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Karshom (55')
Gaafar Alhagi (38'), Mabululu (38'), Achrine (48'), Adil (68'), Al Rashed (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Angola and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 0-1 Angola
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 1-0 Niger
Wednesday, September 4 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Angola 2-1 Sudan

 Sudan have put together a fine run of results in recent outings but will need to be at their best against Angola who are currently firing on all cylinders. The Black Sable Antelopes' home advantage should give them an extra edge on Monday and we fancy them to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Angola in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Angola.

Result
AngolaDrawSudan
67.6% (0.63800000000001 0.64) 21.61% (-0.326 -0.33) 10.79% (-0.309 -0.31)
Both teams to score 35.6% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.9% (0.438 0.44)58.1% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23% (0.343 0.34)78.77% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.373 0.37)16.51% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.665 0.66)46.25% (-0.663 -0.66)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.64% (-0.323 -0.32)57.36% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.76% (-0.179 -0.18)89.24% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Angola 67.6%
    Sudan 10.79%
    Draw 21.61%
AngolaDrawSudan
1-0 @ 17.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 15.36% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.22% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.15% (0.135 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 67.6%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-2 @ 2.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.61%
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-2 @ 2.64% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 10.79%

How you voted: Angola vs Sudan

Angola
77.8%
Draw
13.3%
Sudan
8.9%
45
rhs 2.0
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