Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Congo DR
2 - 0
Sudan

Bongonda (8'), Mayele (87')
Pickel (53'), Batubinsika (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Adil (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo DR and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 0-2 Congo DR
Sunday, June 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Sudan

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Mauritania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Congo DR are on a more impressive run of results heading into this one, and coupled the with the added advantage of playing in front of their fans, we fully expect the hosts to have no problem coming away with a routine win in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Sudan
54.4% ( -0.17)	26.52% ( 0.1)	19.07% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 40.71% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.38% (

-0.24)

61.61% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.54% (

-0.18)

81.45% (

0.18)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08% (

-0.18)

22.91% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32% (

-0.26)

56.68% (

0.26)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.81% (

-0.05)

47.18% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.37% (

-0.04)

82.62% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 54.39%

Sudan 19.07%

Draw 26.52%

Congo DR	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 15.93% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.39%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.07%