Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 11pm UK

Mauritania
1 - 1
Congo DR

Soueid (57')
Niasse (9'), Camara (60'), Abeid (75'), Hacen (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bakambu (9')
Amale (5'), Bokadi (47'), Bakambu (51'), Kiassumbua (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mauritania and Congo DR.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Mauritania
Friday, March 24 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Mauritania
Friday, March 24 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Congo DR
46.46% ( 3.17)	30.04% ( -0.88)	23.51% ( -2.28)

Both teams to score 37.58% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.67% (

1.25)

68.33% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.85% (

0.81)

86.15% (

-0.81)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12% (

2.41)

29.88% (

-2.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

2.82)

65.98% (

-2.82)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.59% (

-1.44)

46.41% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.97% (

-1.12)

82.03% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 46.45%

Congo DR 23.5%

Draw 30.03%

Mauritania	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 16.75% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.33) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.25% Total : 46.45%	0-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.66) 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.03%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.96) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.53% Total : 23.5%