We said: Gabon 1-1 Congo DR
Despite losing the last time these sides met, DR Congo dominated the match in every aspect but could not find the net in 16 attempts on goal, while Gabon scored one of only two shots on target to claim the win.
We still expect The Leopards to create loads of chances in this one, but with Gabon likely to be the happier of the two with taking a share of the spoils, we could see them sitting back and soaking up the pressure, which they are very capable of doing.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 12.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.58%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.18%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.