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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Congo DR national football team

Guinea
1 - 0
Congo DR

Guirassy (90+2')
Sylla (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Elia (21'), Kayembe (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-3 Guinea
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Congo DR
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Guinea 2-1 Congo DR

 Needing all three points to seal their spot in the 2025 AFCON, we expect Guinea to go all out at the Alassane Ouattara Ebimpe Olympic Stadium this weekend. While Congo DR are currently firing on all cylinders in the qualifiers, the Syli National are much improved since both sides clashed in September and we predict that they will come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
GuineaDrawCongo DR
49.11% (0.193 0.19) 29.06% (0.112 0.11) 21.82% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 38.19% (-0.524 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.27% (-0.502 -0.5)66.73% (0.50399999999999 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.92% (-0.342 -0.34)85.08% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.146 -0.15)27.71% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.189 -0.19)63.28% (0.19 0.19)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.83% (-0.617 -0.62)47.17% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.38% (-0.47 -0.47)82.62% (0.47199999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 49.1%
    Congo DR 21.82%
    Draw 29.06%
GuineaDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 16.77% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 49.1%
0-0 @ 13.07% (0.24 0.24)
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 29.06%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.82%

How you voted: Guinea vs Congo DR

Guinea
36.4%
Draw
29.1%
Congo DR
34.5%
55
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Congo DR
1-0
Guinea
Kayembe (27')
Masuaku (88')

M (61'), Masuaku (76'), Diakite (88')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Congo DR
3-1
Guinea
Mbemba (27'), Wissa (65' pen.), Masuaku (82')
Masuaku (37')
Bayo (21' pen.)
Diawara (64'), Diawara (64'), Conte (79')
> Preview
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