We said: Senegal 2-1 Congo DR
While both sides are without Mane (Senegal) and Bakambu (DRC), the Lions should have enough to edge their opponents in a close encounter with little separating the sides, keen to extend their 23-year undefeated run in home World Cup qualifying matches and claim a seventh straight win in such games in front of their supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.