Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Malawi0 - 4Egypt
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
We said: Malawi 0-2 Egypt
Egypt showed their class when the sides squared off in last week's reverse fixture and will be looking to complete the group double over Malawi. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two nations, we are tipping the Pharaohs to come away with another comfortable win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.56%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Egypt |
24.59% ( 0.54) | 30.02% ( 0.09) | 45.39% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 38.43% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
