MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 03:57:11| >> :600:8292233:8292233:
Mali national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade 26 Mars

Mali
6 - 0
Eswatini

Bilal Toure (7'), Dorgeles (17', 23', 77'), Doumbia (42'), Doumbia (89')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mali and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Mali
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mali 3-0 Eswatini

Mali can afford to take their foot off the gas here, but a chance to conclude their qualifying campaign with a win on home turf should see them up for the challenge.   We are fully backing the home side to cruise to a routine victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 11.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawEswatini
65.63% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03) 22.69% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 11.68% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 35.52% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (0.143 0.14)59.85% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88% (0.109 0.11)80.13% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18% (0.040999999999997 0.04)17.83% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (0.069000000000003 0.07)48.57% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.23% (0.178 0.18)56.78% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.09% (0.102 0.1)88.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Mali 65.62%
    Eswatini 11.68%
    Draw 22.69%
MaliDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 17.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 15.04% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.73%
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 65.62%
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.41% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.69%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 2.8% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 11.68%

How you voted: Mali vs Eswatini

Mali
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Eswatini
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Eswatini
0-1
Mali

Tfomo (14'), Masangane (45+3'), (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!