Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Eswatini1 - 1Guinea-Bissau
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eswatini 0-3 Mozambique
Monday, October 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, October 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Eswatini 0-2 Guinea-Bissau
Meeting all three points to keep their quest for a place in Morocco alive, we expect Guinea-Bissau to go all out from the first minute at the Mbombela Stadium. Morte's side boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we are backing them to see off an Eswatini side who have managed just one point from their four qualifying games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
23.13% ( 0.43) | 28.17% ( 0.4) | 48.7% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
