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Mali national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2024 at 11pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Mali
vs.
Guinea-Bissau

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mali and Guinea-Bissau.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Mali
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 2-1 Guinea-Bissau
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau has a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it is 0-1 (7.82%).

Result
MaliDrawGuinea-Bissau
54.13%25.83%20.05%
Both teams to score 43.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.63%58.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.02%78.98%
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33%21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.8%
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.84%44.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.75%80.25%
Score Analysis
    Mali 54.12%
    Guinea-Bissau 20.05%
    Draw 25.83%
MaliDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 14.63%
2-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 4.66%
4-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 54.12%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 9.57%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 7.82%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 3.2%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 20.05%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 7pm
Friendlies 3
Mali
6-2
Guinea-Bissau
Niakate (6'), Coulibaly (15'), Doumbia (40'), Dorgeles (68', 85'), Sacko (75')
(33')
Balde (37'), Mane (42')
(45')
rhs 2.0
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