MX23RW : Monday, November 25 12:28:54| >> :600:584164:584164:
Niger national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de Kegue
Sudan national football team

Niger
4 - 0
Sudan

Sosah (6', 45+3' pen.), Oumarou (29'), Badamassi (51')
Oumarou (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Niger and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 0-1 Angola
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Ghana347
2Mali304
3Congo DR303
4Niger3-41
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sudan 2-0 Ghana
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Niger 0-1 Sudan

Given Niger's struggles in front of goal, Sudan will fancy their chances of keeping their hosts at bay, having recorded clean sheets in three of their four AFCON qualifiers.   We can see the visitors just about doing enough to come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Niger had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Niger win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
NigerDrawSudan
34.04% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 29.16% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 36.79% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.35% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.56% (0.064999999999998 0.06)62.43% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.94% (0.048000000000002 0.05)82.05% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)34.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.01% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.081999999999994 0.08)32.49% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (0.093 0.09)69.01% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Niger 34.04%
    Sudan 36.79%
    Draw 29.15%
NigerDrawSudan
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.04%
1-1 @ 13.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 12.53%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.79%

How you voted: Niger vs Sudan

Niger
12.0%
Draw
44.0%
Sudan
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Sudan
1-0
Niger
Eisa (51')
Thierry (62')

Diabate (17')
Aug 26, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 3
Sudan
3-0
Niger
Aug 22, 2021 5pm
Friendlies 3
Sudan
1-2
Niger
rhs 2.0
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