MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 23:04:32| >> :600:449503:449503:
Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Abuja National Stadium
Sierra Leone national football team

Nigeria
2 - 1
Sierra Leone

Iwobi (16'), Osimhen (41')
Etebo (49'), Aina (73'), (83'), Odinaka Uzoho (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Morsay (11')
Bankole Kamara (32'), Sesay (65'), Koroma (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Sierra Leone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mauritius vs. Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Sierra Leone vs. Guinea-Bissau
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Nigeria 2-0 Sierra Leone

Nigeria will be looking to restore some pride as they return home where they saw their World Cup qualification dreams come to an end back in March. While Sierra Leone will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling, we are backing the Super Eagles to come away with all three points on home ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
NigeriaDrawSierra Leone
40.73% (-0.963 -0.96) 28.77% (0.166 0.17) 30.49% (0.792 0.79)
Both teams to score 44.61% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.27% (-0.325 -0.32)61.72% (0.321 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.46% (-0.242 -0.24)81.53% (0.238 0.24)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-0.706 -0.71)29.74% (0.702 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.863 -0.86)65.81% (0.85900000000001 0.86)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (0.432 0.43)36.5% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (0.434 0.43)73.28% (-0.43799999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 40.73%
    Sierra Leone 30.49%
    Draw 28.76%
NigeriaDrawSierra Leone
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.73%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.85% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 10.94% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.194 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 30.49%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Sierra Leone

Nigeria
88.5%
Draw
9.6%
Sierra Leone
1.9%
52
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!