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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
South Africa national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
FNB Stadium
Morocco national football team

South Africa
2 - 1
Morocco

Munir (5' og.), Lepasa (48')
Tau (10'), Mayambela (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ziyech (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Africa and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Liberia 1-2 South Africa
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Cape Verde
Monday, June 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: South Africa 0-1 Morocco

 South Africa are currently on a fine run of results and will be backing themselves this weekend in front of their home supporters. However, we expect Morocco to have too much quality for the Bafana Bafana. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we fancy the Atlas Lions coming out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawMorocco
53.14% (2.365 2.37) 26.36% (-0.348 -0.35) 20.5% (-2.024 -2.02)
Both teams to score 43% (-1.476 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.32% (-0.64 -0.64)59.68% (0.635 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.01% (-0.492 -0.49)79.99% (0.488 0.49)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (0.77 0.77)22.63% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (1.132 1.13)56.26% (-1.137 -1.14)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.58% (-2.489 -2.49)44.42% (2.484 2.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.53% (-2.091 -2.09)80.47% (2.086 2.09)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 53.13%
    Morocco 20.5%
    Draw 26.35%
South AfricaDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 14.93% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.74 0.74)
2-1 @ 9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.486 0.49)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 53.13%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.372 -0.37)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.464 -0.46)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.396 -0.4)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 20.5%

How you voted: South Africa vs Morocco

South Africa
22.4%
Draw
8.2%
Morocco
69.4%
49
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Morocco
2-1
South Africa
En-Nesyri (51'), El Kaabi (87')
Foster (8')
Foster (24'), Sithole (44'), Williams (81')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
South Africa
0-1
Morocco

Zwane (18'), Zungu (31')
Boussoufa (90')
> Match Report
Jan 27, 2013 5pm
Group Stage
Morocco
2-2
South Africa
El Adoua, Elhafidi
Mahlangu, Sangweni
> Match Report
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