African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Libya3 - 1Ethiopia
Abu Arqoub (44'), Abbasi (50'), Saltou (78')
Saltou (52'), Touhami (66')
Saltou (52'), Touhami (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Panomo (39' pen.)
Panomo (59')
Panomo (59')
Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Libya and Ethiopia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Libya had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Libya win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Ethiopia |
34.19% ( -1.94) | 28.45% ( -0.16) | 37.35% ( 2.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.37% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
