International Friendly
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Brazil5 - 1Tunisia
Raphinha (11', 40'), Richarlison (19'), Neymar (29' pen.), Pedro (74')
Neymar (21'), Richarlison (44')
Neymar (21'), Richarlison (44')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Reaction
Richarlison has banana thrown at him during Brazil's win over Tunisia
Tottenham Hotspur attacker Richarlison has a banana thrown in his direction during Brazil's 5-1 international friendly win over Tunisia at the Parc des Princes.
Sep 28, 08:03
Neymar closes in on Pele record as Brazil thrash Tunisia
Neymar scores international goal number 75 to move within two of Pele's all-time record as Brazil thrash Tunisia 5-1 in their final World Cup warm-up game.
Sep 27, 21:21
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Brazil and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's international friendly match against Tunisia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 3-0 Ghana
Friday, September 23 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Friday, September 23 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
We said: Brazil 2-0 Tunisia
Given Tunisia's formidable run of seven successive clean sheets, Brazil may have to work much harder to break the deadlock in Paris. However, their array of attacking talent surely means it will only be a matter of time before they do so, perhaps with a decisive second coming later in the match once Tunisia gradually break out of their shape in search of an equaliser. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.21%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
Result | ||
Brazil | Draw | Tunisia |
68.83% ( -0.95) | 20.68% ( -0.05) | 10.49% ( 1) |
Both teams to score 36.94% ( 3.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( 2.44) | 55.59% ( -2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( 1.95) | 76.76% ( -1.95) |
Brazil Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.75% ( 0.51) | 15.25% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.07% ( 0.95) | 43.93% ( -0.95) |
Tunisia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.59% ( 3.52) | 56.41% ( -3.52) |