Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Ivory Coast
2 - 0
Guinea-Bissau

Fofana (4'), Krasso (58')
N'Dicka (29'), Sangare (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cassama (44')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ivory Coast and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Last Game: Ivory Coast 5-1 Sierra Leone
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Last Game: Mali 6-2 Guinea-Bissau
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Guinea-Bissau

Ivory Coast are expected to avoid Guinea-Bissau's traps and the pressure of the opening fixture to secure a routine victory in the tournament's first game on Saturday. While the Djurtus should not be as open as they were in the 6-2 friendly defeat to Mali last week, they are unlikely to pull off a shock result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 70.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
70.48% ( 1.65)	18.27% ( -0.91)	11.25% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 46.34% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.89% (

2.09)

44.11% (

-2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.51% (

66.49% (

-2)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.72% (

1.05)

11.28% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.11% (

2.24)

35.89% (

-2.25)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.23% (

0.02)

47.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.94% (

0.02)

83.06% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 70.46%

Guinea-Bissau 11.25%

Draw 18.27%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
2-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.25) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.53% Total : 70.46%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.27%	0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.25%