Friendlies 3
Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio do Bonfim
Guinea1 - 0Guinea-Bissau
Guilavogui (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Guinea and Guinea-Bissau.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Malawi 2-2 Guinea
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
46.04% ( 0.08) | 29.76% ( 0) | 24.21% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 38.71% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
