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Cadiz logo
La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Ramon de Carranza
Alaves logo

Cadiz
3 - 1
Alaves

Alex (15'), Lozano (56'), Negredo (68')
Fali (22'), Perea (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Joselu (23' pen.)
Pina (40'), Deyverson (44'), Tachi (45+2')
Tachi (50')

Preview: Cadiz vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Alaves travel to Andalusia on Sunday for their afternoon kickoff with Cadiz at the Nuevo Estadio Ramon de Carranza.

Cadiz, who have gone five games without a win in La Liga, will be looking to get their season back on track when they line up against their Basque visitors.


Match preview

Alvaro Negredo celebrates scoring for Cadiz against Barcelona on December 5, 2020© Reuters

The only two La Liga matchups between these clubs came in the 2005-06 season, with both of those fixtures ending in goalless draws.

This time out, it is safe to assume that both managers will think they have what it takes to come away from the tie with more than a single point.

After their impressive start to the season, Alvaro Cervera's Cadiz have hit a snag in their campaign, with the team struggling for goals as much as they have been struggling for wins.

The Yellow Submarine have only scored one goal in their last five games, a statistic that is no doubt giving Cervera sleepless nights.

Cervera's men look to be becoming slightly over-reliant on veteran striker Alvaro Negredo, who has been involved in four out of seven of Cadiz's last league goals.

Joselu celebrates scoring for Deportivo Alaves against Real Madrid in La Liga on November 28, 2020© Reuters

Recent league form aside, Cadiz were able to see off Pontevedra in the Copa del Rey in their midweek game, with the tie having to go all the way to penalties to find a winner.

Similarly, Alaves managed to find a way past Deportivo La Coruna earlier in the week, making their trip to Galicia worthwhile.

Much like their Andalusian opponents, El Glorioso have found wins hard to come by in recent weeks.

Pablo Machin's men have won only once in their last six games and the Basque outfit now find themselves just two points off the relegation zone.

Thankfully for Machin, Cadiz have the worst home form in the league, having only won once at the Ramon de Carranza this season.

Machin will certainly look to his dynamic duo Lucas Perez and Joselu to provide the goals needed to best Cadiz and heap pressure on Cervera.

Cadiz La Liga form: WLLLDD
Cadiz form (all competitions): WLLDDW

Alaves La Liga form: DLLWDL
Alaves form (all competitions): WLWDLW


Team News

Alaves manager Pablo Machin pictured in October 2020© Reuters

After an exhausting 120 minutes of football in the week, Cervera's men may be feeling a bit worse for wear coming into this game.

This could be a problem for Cervera, who is already without Sergio Gonzalez and Salvi Sanchez due to COVID-19.

Marcos Mauro and Luismi Quezada are also unlikely to feature due to muscular injuries.

Alaves will be without their defensive rock Victor Laguardia, who was sent off against Atletico Madrid last time out.

Rodrigo Ely and Pere Pons are both also expected to sit this one out due to injury.

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Carcelen, Alcala, Cala, Espino; Izquierdo, Jonsson, Fali, Alex; Lozano, Negredo

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Aguirregabiria, Rodriguez, Lejeune, Carballo; Jota, Battaglia, Pina, Rioja; Perez, Joselu


SM words green background

We say: Cadiz 0-1 Alaves

These two are certainly not La Liga's most attacking outfits so do not expect a goal-fest. Cadiz have been poor at home this season - aside from a famous win over Barcelona - and we think Alaves have what it takes to find three points in Andalusia.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Francis Buchanan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Cadiz vs Alaves

Cadiz
40.0%
Draw
29.5%
Alaves
30.5%
95
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16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
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19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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