Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.