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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 12
Jun 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Nya Ullevi

Goteborg
1 - 0
Elfsborg

Norlin (34')
Hausner (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Abdulai (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Goteborg and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AIK 5-2 Goteborg
Monday, May 27 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-1 Elfsborg
Tuesday, May 28 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: IFK Goteborg 0-2 Elfsborg

Although both sides have struggled for consistency this term, the sheer number of absentees for Goteborg could give Elfsborg an advantage. With this in mind, considering that the away side have scored nine more Allsvenskan goals than the home side, their attack could benefit from Goteborg's relative disorganisation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
IFK GoteborgDrawElfsborg
32.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 26.1% (0.004999999999999 0) 41.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)51.14% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)72.98% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
IFK Goteborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)29.41% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)65.4% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.55% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.03%
Score Analysis
    IFK Goteborg 32.75%
    Elfsborg 41.15%
    Draw 26.1%
IFK GoteborgDrawElfsborg
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.75%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 10.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.15%

How you voted: Goteborg vs Elfsborg

IFK Goteborg
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Elfsborg
100%
17
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 6.10pm
Gameweek 28
Goteborg
1-2
Elfsborg
Holmen (76' og.)
Thordarson (16'), Berthel Askou (35'), Carlen (58'), Carneil (90+2')
Frick (32'), Bernhardsson (83')
Hult (64'), Baidoo (64'), Aron Gudjohnsen (74'), Holmen (75'), Hedlund (83'), Abdulai (90+5')
Jul 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
Elfsborg
1-1
Goteborg
Frick (46')
Bernhardsson (35'), Lagerbielke (63'), Larsson (68')
Carlen (29')
Berg (63'), Norlin (90+6')
Oct 3, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 24
Goteborg
1-3
Elfsborg
Baidoo (22'), Bernhardsson (35'), Soderberg (90+8')
May 22, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 9
Elfsborg
3-1
Goteborg
Frick (9'), Larsson (44'), Zanden (55')
Vaisanen (47'), Bernhardsson (83'), Romer (90+1'), Strand (90+4')
Berg (35')
Oct 1, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 22
Elfsborg
1-0
Goteborg
Okkels (38')
Holmen (90+3')

Johansson (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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