MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:05:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Iver Arena (Vasteras)

Vasteras
2 - 1
Norrkoping

Saidi (52'), Magnusson (90')
Magnusson (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hammershoj-Mistrati (55')
Neffati (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Vasteras SK and IFK Norrkoping, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasteras 1-2 Hacken
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-3 Djurgarden
Monday, July 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Vasteras SK 1-1 IFK Norrkoping

Vasteras have actually only conceded 16 times in the league this season, which is a very strong defensive record considering their position in the table, so we are not expecting many goals this weekend. A victory for either would be huge, and cases can be made for both to win it, but we believe that a tight match between the two strugglers will end with the points being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vasteras SK in this match.

Result
Vasteras SKDrawIFK Norrkoping
47.64% (0.14 0.14) 23.63% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.73% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.53% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.03% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)64.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Vasteras SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.046999999999997 0.05)17.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (0.076999999999998 0.08)48.6% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)27.54% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (-0.125 -0.13)63.05% (0.128 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Vasteras SK 47.64%
    IFK Norrkoping 28.73%
    Draw 23.63%
Vasteras SKDrawIFK Norrkoping
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.73%

How you voted: Vasteras vs Norrkoping

Vasteras SK
27.3%
Draw
36.4%
IFK Norrkoping
36.4%
11
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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