Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 10, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors0 - 0Defensa
FT
Ramos Mingo (70'), Cannavo (83')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigre 0-2 Boca Juniors
Monday, February 5 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, February 5 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-3 Defensa
Tuesday, February 6 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, February 6 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boca Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
48.65% ( -0.11) | 27.97% ( 0.05) | 23.38% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 42.16% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.5% ( -0.13) | 62.49% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.9% ( -0.1) | 82.1% ( 0.09) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.06% ( -0.11) | 25.94% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.06% ( -0.15) | 60.94% ( 0.15) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.93% ( -0.02) | 43.07% ( 0.02) |