Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Oct 2, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Boca Juniors1 - 0Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-1 Boca Juniors
Friday, September 23 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, September 23 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Barracas Central
Monday, September 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, September 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
Result | ||
Boca Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
54.07% ( 0.26) | 24.78% ( -0.1) | 21.16% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.57% ( 0.2) | 53.43% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.04% ( 0.17) | 74.96% ( -0.17) |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.28% ( 0.18) | 19.72% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.27% ( 0.29) | 51.73% ( -0.29) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.89% ( -0.05) | 40.11% ( 0.05) |