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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Oct 2, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Morales (79')
Varela (30'), Fernandez (38'), Fabra (90+6')
Vasquez (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jara (20'), Castro (90+6'), Mulet (90+7')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-1 Boca Juniors
Friday, September 23 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Barracas Central
Monday, September 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
54.07% (0.262 0.26) 24.78% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 21.16% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (0.2 0.2)53.43% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (0.168 0.17)74.96% (-0.166 -0.17)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (0.18400000000001 0.18)19.72% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (0.294 0.29)51.73% (-0.292 -0.29)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)40.11% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.75% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 54.05%
    Velez Sarsfield 21.16%
    Draw 24.78%
Boca JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.05%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 21.16%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Boca Juniors

Perrone (22')

Rojo (38')
Oct 25, 2021 12.15am
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Boca Juniors
Mancuello (39'), Tarragona (90')
Bouzat (59'), de los Santos (77')

Rojo (69')
Mar 8, 2021 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-7
Boca Juniors
Martin Lucero (26')
Amor (19'), Galdames (57')
Cardona (21'), Villa (31', 53'), Maroni (55', 74'), Tevez (62'), Campuzano (89')
Capaldo (10'), Zambrano (25'), Campuzano (70')
Nov 10, 2019 11pm
Velez Sarsfield
0-0
Boca Juniors

Fernandez (11'), Dominguez (33'), Gianetti (41'), Cufre (89')

Lopez (11'), Fabra (46'), Marcone (62'), Reynoso (87'), Hurtado (90')
Fabra (61')
Sep 3, 2018 12am
Boca Juniors
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Pavon (29'), Cardona (40' pen.), Villa (92')
Nandez (87')

Gimenez (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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