MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:14:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
3 - 0
Barracas Central

Gimenez Rojas (27'), Gonzalez (36'), Martinez (60')
Perez (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Capraro (32'), Arce (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Barracas Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Colon
Monday, October 9 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 2-0 Barracas Central

Independiente have plenty of momentum on their side having enjoyed a seven-match unbeaten streak under Carlos Tevez, and although Barracas Central head into the trip on the back of a return to winning ways, they are yet to establish any real consistency this term, and we can only envisage a home victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawBarracas Central
64.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.57% (0.0040000000000013 0) 12.77% (0.0029999999999983 0)
Both teams to score 38.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)57.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.28% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)17.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)47.67% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)86.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 64.64%
    Barracas Central 12.77%
    Draw 22.57%
IndependienteDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 16.22%
2-0 @ 14.23%
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 64.64%
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 3.18%
0-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.77%

How you voted: Independiente vs Barracas Central

Independiente
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Barracas Central
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Oct 12, 2022 11pm
Apr 2, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan16772168828
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9BelgranoBelgrano166642119224
10Deportivo Riestra167361818024
11GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
12Boca Juniors165651917221
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
16Platense155461314-119
17LanusLanus154741822-419
18Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
19IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Central CordobaC. Cordoba164481826-816
26Sarmiento153661115-415
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central16259721-1411


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