Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
May 22, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield1 - 0Newell's OB
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Platense
Saturday, May 11 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 11 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Newell's Old Boys
Newell's appear to have cleaned up their defensive game, and they should be full of confidence, given their form away from home in the opening round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
42.96% ( 0.98) | 29.8% ( 0.09) | 27.24% ( -1.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.58% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
