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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
3 - 0
Rosario

Troyansky (55'), De la Vega (60'), Orozco (71')
Lema (51'), Fernandez (69'), (90+3')
Lema (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (20'), Mac Allister (45+4'), Mallo (72')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Lanus
Monday, February 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, February 12 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawRosario Central
42.9% (-0.11 -0.11) 28.92% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 28.18% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 43.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)82.43% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.062000000000012 -0.06)29.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)65.05% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (0.082000000000001 0.08)39.01% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (0.079000000000001 0.08)75.73% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 42.9%
    Rosario Central 28.17%
    Draw 28.91%
LanusDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 14.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 42.9%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 10.69% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 28.17%

Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 11pm
Rosario
0-0
Lanus

Almada (37'), Martinez (86')
Benitez (53')

Spinelli (90+3')
Apr 20, 2022 11pm
Lanus
3-1
Rosario
Manuel Lopez (29'), Valeri (60'), Gonzalez (80')
Gonzalez (10')
Benitez (86')
Ferreyra (21'), Ojeda (51'), Martinez (90+2')
Dec 5, 2021 12.30am
Lanus
2-2
Rosario
Manuel Lopez (4'), Sand (51')
Di Placido (28'), Esquivel (63'), Burdisso (84')
Ruben (68', 69')
Infantino (50'), Tanlongo (71')
Jan 9, 2021 8.10pm
Zone Four
Lanus
2-0
Rosario
Orozco (10'), Manuel Lopez (30')

Blanco (71')
Oct 6, 2019 5.15pm
Lanus
1-1
Rosario
Sand (57')
Acosta (65'), Sand (85'), Di Placido (89')
Caruzzo (65')
Caruzzo (74'), Britez (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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