Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Jun 26, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Tigre

Bareiro (69' pen.)
James (39')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Blondel (25')
Menossi (45+1'), Fernandez (45+7'), Cabrera (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: San Lorenzo 2-1 Tigre

While they have often struggled to turn draws into wins recently, San Lorenzo have enjoyed a stronger start to the regular campaign than that of their visitors. With home advantage and boosted confidence from their victory last time out, we anticipate the hosts making it two wins on the bounce with a narrow triumph at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Tigre
45.66% ( -0.19)	26.1% ( -0.78)	28.23% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 51.09% (

2.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07% (

3.48)

52.93% (

-3.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.46% (

2.89)

74.53% (

-2.89)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

1.43)

23.13% (

-1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

2.04)

56.99% (

-2.05)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46% (

2.63)

33.53% (

-2.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.83% (

2.78)

70.17% (

-2.78)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 45.66%

Tigre 28.23%

Draw 26.09%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -1.12) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.66%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -1.13) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.43) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.23%