We said: Sarmiento 0-1 Talleres
Sarmiento have a fine home record and have been stout defensively for much of the campaign, but they will face a huge test against the side currently second in the table.
Talleres should take plenty of confidence into this tie too, considering they are unbeaten in the last six meetings against their opponents.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Talleres in this match.