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Arsenal logo
Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Brighton logo

Arsenal
1 - 2
Brighton

Odegaard (89')
Odegaard (39'), Saka (50'), Sambi Lokonga (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Trossard (29'), Mwepu (66')
Bissouma (35'), Gross (40'), Caicedo (52'), Sanchez (90+1')

Preview: Arsenal vs. Brighton & Hove Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to get their top-four charge right back on track, Arsenal welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to the Emirates Stadium for Saturday's Premier League encounter.

The Gunners were outfought and outclassed in a 3-0 defeat to Crystal Palace on Monday, while Graham Potter's side most recently drew 0-0 with Norwich City.


Match preview

Arsenal's Martin Odegaard looks dejected after Crystal Palace's Jean-Philippe Mateta scores their first goal on April 4, 2022© Reuters

Everything that could go wrong at Selhurst Park did go wrong for Arsenal and Mikel Arteta, who took it upon himself to apologise for his side's "unacceptable" performance, which was certainly a contender for their worst showing of the season.

Jean-Philippe Mateta, Jordan Ayew and Wilfried Zaha's finishes handed Palace a deserved dominant win as Patrick Vieira got one over his former employers, while injuries to Kieran Tierney and Thomas Partey before and during the game rubbed salt into the wounds.

Talk of Arsenal's season being "over" is of course very premature, as despite their humbling at the hands of the Eagles, the fifth-placed Gunners still have their Champions League destiny in their own hands, with Tottenham Hotspur only clear on goal difference having played a game more.

Whichever North London club makes the top four could very well be determined in what ought to be a pulsating derby encounter on May 12, but for the time being, Arsenal will welcome a return to the Emirates as the third-best home team in the Premier League this season.

Indeed, the Gunners have claimed 10 wins from 14 on home soil in the top flight since the beginning of September, and their only defeats at the Emirates this term have come to Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester City, so a chance to boost their morale and standing in the table surely lies ahead.

Brighton & Hove Albion manager Graham Potter applauds fans after the match on April 2, 2022© Reuters

Before sulking at Selhurst Park, Arsenal fans would have revelled in witnessing nemesis Neal Maupay miss the chance to end Brighton's barren run in front of goal, as the Seagulls were forced into a share of the spoils against a beleaguered Norwich City.

With 29 minutes on the clock, Maupay blasted his spot kick over the bar and also missed a number of other opportunities to break the deadlock at the Amex Stadium, as Potter's men continue their stark decline following an eye-catching start to the season.

Having now failed to score in each of their last three Premier League encounters - as well as six from their last seven in the top flight - Brighton have plummeted to 13th in the rankings but are still comfortably 10 points clear of the relegation zone.

The stalemate with Norwich did at least end a six-game losing run for Brighton, but failure to get one over the league's basement side at home is hardly ideal before a trip to North London - especially seeing as they have won just twice away from home since October.

Potter's side did manage to hold Arsenal to a 0-0 draw on the South Coast earlier this season, but the Gunners won 2-0 at home on the final day of the 2020-21 season and have now kept three clean sheets on the bounce versus the Seagulls.

Arsenal Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Kieran Tierney in action for Arsenal in March 2022© Reuters

In another devastating injury blow for the Scottish left-back, Arsenal have announced that Kieran Tierney will require surgery on his knee injury and will miss the remainder of the campaign - hardly ideal with Takehiro Tomiyasu also ruled out of this contest.

Thomas Partey's recent thigh problem has ruled him out for at least a few weeks and possibly until the end of the season, so the stage is set for Albert Sambi Lokonga to impress after a bright cameo at Selhurst Park.

Arteta has a massive call to make at left-back following Nuno Tavares's early withdrawal on Monday, but a meeting with goal-shy Brighton could be just what the Portuguese needs to regain some form. Nicolas Pepe will also hope to be back from illness in time for this one.

Arsenal were not the only ones to be dealt a serious injury blow in the latest round of fixtures, with Brighton's Jakub Moder only on the pitch for five minutes against Norwich before rupturing his ACL.

Adam Webster (groin) is keeping Moder company in the treatment room after a small setback in his recovery, but he could force his way into contention here, while Moises Caicedo should be fit to return from a bout of illness.

Ex-Arsenal man Danny Welbeck and Maupay spearheaded an unconventional 3-1-4-2 formation against Norwich - which did not pay dividends - and Potter may consider recalling Yves Bissouma to the first XI here.

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Ramsdale; Cedric, White, Gabriel, Tavares; Xhaka, Lokonga; Saka, Odegaard, Martinelli; Lacazette

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; Veltman, Dunk, Cucurella; Lamptey, Bissouma, Gross, March; Mac Allister; Trossard, Maupay


SM words green background

We say: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Arsenal sure are under pressure to prove that their dire showing at Selhurst Park was just a one-off, and they could hardly have been handed a friendlier fixture to return to winning ways.

Brighton's continued struggles in front of goal are showing no signs of letting up anytime soon, and even with their recent injury blows, Arsenal's young guns should prevail comfortably.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Arsenal vs Brighton

Arsenal
83.8%
Draw
12.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
3.9%
228
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Arsenal's Takehiro Tomiyasu after sustaining an injury on December 18, 2021
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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