Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Semi-Finals

Feb 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium

Jordan
2 - 0
South Korea

Al-Naimat (53'), Al Tamari (66')
Haddad (45+2'), Abu Hasheesh (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

In-beom (15'), Jung (84'), Kyu-Sung (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Jordan and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jordan

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 Jordan
Friday, February 2 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

South Korea

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Australia 1-2 South Korea
Friday, February 2 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

We said: Jordan 1-2 South Korea

It is a tremendous achievement for Jordan to have made it this far, but we do not believe they have enough depth or experience to handle a match of this magnitude. Korea tend to leave it late, but their resilience and overall quality should be enough to put them within a game of their first Asian Cup since 1960. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Jordan win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Jordan	Draw	South Korea
18.73% ( -0.47)	22.54% ( -0.35)	58.73% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 51.07% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.47% (

0.78)

47.53% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.27% (

0.72)

69.73% (

-0.72)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69% (

-0.07)

39.31% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.98% (

-0.07)

76.02% (

0.07)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15% (

0.56)

15.85% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.96% (

1.01)

45.04% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Jordan 18.73%

South Korea 58.72%

Draw 22.53%

Jordan	Draw	South Korea
1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 5% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.73%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.53%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.72%