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Asian Cup
Saudi Arabia national football team
Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2024 at 4pm UK
Education City Stadium
South Korea national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 1
South Korea

Radif (46')
Mancini (50'), Al-Kassar (90+5'), Al Muwallad (113'), Al Burayk (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Kyu-Sung (90+9')
Young-gwon (49'), Kang-in (114')
South Korea win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Thailand
Thursday, January 25 at 3pm in Asian Cup

South Korea

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: South Korea 3-3 Malaysia
Thursday, January 25 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

We say: Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea (Saudi Arabia advances on penalties)

 These are two sides with contrasting styles of play, and we believe the Saudi defensive shape could frustrate the South Koreans, and that frustration alone may be enough to give the Green Falcons a psychological edge when it may be needed most. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 44.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (9.83%).

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawSouth Korea
27.62% (-0.032 -0.03) 27.87% (0.251 0.25) 44.51% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-0.702 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.26% (-0.882 -0.88)59.73% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.96% (-0.68 -0.68)80.04% (0.68299999999999 0.68)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.512 -0.51)37.69% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (-0.503 -0.5)74.46% (0.506 0.51)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (-0.518 -0.52)26.73% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38% (-0.692 -0.69)62% (0.695 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 27.62%
    South Korea 44.51%
    Draw 27.86%
Saudi ArabiaDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.07% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 13.29% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 8.77% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.087000000000002 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 44.51%

How you voted: 1st Group F vs 2nd Group E

1st Group F
35.7%
Draw
21.4%
2nd Group E
42.9%
84
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 5.30pm
Friendlies 1
Saudi Arabia
0-1
South Korea

Alhamddan (90')
Kyu-Sung (32')
Hee-chan (38'), In-beom (53')
> Preview
Dec 31, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
South Korea
0-0
Saudi Arabia
Al-Owais (82')
rhs 2.0
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