Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 22, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Tajikistan2 - 1Lebanon
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 Qatar
Wednesday, January 17 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Wednesday, January 17 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | China | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Tajikistan | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Lebanon 0-0 China
Wednesday, January 17 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Wednesday, January 17 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | China | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Tajikistan | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 2 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Tajikistan 1-1 Lebanon
While we expect a greater sense of urgency from both sides in this match, given the stakes, it is difficult to envision either having a decisive attacking edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tajikistan | Draw | Lebanon |
38.49% ( -9.1) | 28.09% ( 1.28) | 33.41% ( 7.82) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
