MX23RW : Friday, November 22 17:10:42| >> :60:114:114:
Lithuania national football team
Baltic Cup | Semi-Finals
Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
Iceland national football team

Lithuania
0 - 0
Iceland


Mikoliunas (11'), Novikovas (90+1')
FT
Iceland win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Baltic Cup clash between Lithuania and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Lithuania
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
All competitions
Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Iceland
Friday, November 11 at 11am in International Friendlies

We said: Lithuania 0-3 Iceland

Iceland should have no trouble in progressing to the final here, with a clear gulf in quality existing between them and their opponents. As such, we expect them to win by a comfortable margin, booking a first ever appearance in the Baltic Cup final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
LithuaniaDrawIceland
35.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.95% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 38.68% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.3% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)50.05% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)72.02% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)27.24% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.052 -0.05)62.67% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.36% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.16% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 35.37%
    Iceland 38.68%
    Draw 25.95%
LithuaniaDrawIceland
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.37%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.68%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Iceland

Lithuania
17.4%
Draw
8.7%
Iceland
73.9%
23
rhs 2.0
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