UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

LFF Stadium, Vilnius

Lithuania
1 - 1
Faroe Islands

Slivka (44')
Lasickas (56'), Girdvainis (65'), Klimavicius (72'), Simkus (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Andreasen (22')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

0Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Lithuania and Faroe Islands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lithuania

Last Game: Turkey 2-0 Lithuania
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Faroe Islands

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

We said: Lithuania 1-2 Faroe Islands

The pressure is on Lithuania to come away with maximum points against a Faroe Islands outfit who won the reverse fixture and will be the slight favourites despite their poor form away from home. We expect both nations to cause problems in the final third, but the visitors should have enough quality in their side to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Faroe Islands
41.07% ( 0.02)	26.45% ( -0.09)	32.48% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 52.03% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.33% (

0.38)

52.67% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69% (

0.32)

74.31% (

-0.32)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

0.18)

25.28% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

0.24)

60.05% (

-0.25)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

0.23)

30.35% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

0.28)

66.54% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Lithuania 41.06%

Faroe Islands 32.48%

Draw 26.45%

Lithuania	Draw	Faroe Islands
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.06%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.48%