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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 29
Nov 6, 2022 at 11am UK
 

Dnepr Mogilev
0 - 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk


Dunaev (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Myalkovskiy (30')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Dnepr Mogilev and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Minsk 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0-0 Belshina
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 55.5%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.

Result
Dnepr MogilevDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
22.7% (0.179 0.18) 21.8% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 55.5% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 59.77% (0.552 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.05% (0.614 0.61)38.95% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.73% (0.645 0.65)61.27% (-0.64299999999999 -0.64)
Dnepr Mogilev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (0.5 0.5)30.51% (-0.495 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.588 0.59)66.73% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (0.181 0.18)13.98% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (0.349 0.35)41.49% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dnepr Mogilev 22.7%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 55.5%
    Draw 21.8%
Dnepr MogilevDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.06% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.01% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.34% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 22.7%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.067 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-2 @ 8.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.43% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.16% (0.033 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.88% (0.045 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.24% (0.021 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 55.5%

Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 3pm
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0
Dnepr Mogilev
Sazanovich (6')

Bordukov (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk27197148113764
2Neman29195541192262
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ28168442212156
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest28146861342748
5Vitebsk28135103124744
6Gomel281110737271043
7SlutskSlutsk29116122640-1439
8IslochIsloch29108113530538
9BATE BorisovBATE28107113133-237
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr28810102831-334
11Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2897122836-834
12Smorgon28611112844-1629
13FC MinskFC Minsk29610132840-1228
14Naftan28410142644-1822
15Dnepr Mogilev2929182557-3215
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk2857161842-242


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