Genk

3 - 1

Leuven

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Leuven win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.