Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Royal Excel Mouscron win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kortrijk would win this match.