Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.