Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 3

May 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG
3 - 0
Genk

Burgess (12', 81'), Teuma (68' pen.)
Thierry Lazare (34')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McKenzie (4'), Munoz (62'), Cuesta (74'), Arteaga (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions

Belgian Pro League

Last Game: Brugge 1-2 Union SG
Saturday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genk

All competitions

Last Game: Antwerp 2-1 Genk
Sunday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Genk had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Genk
43.86% ( -0.16)	23.81% ( -0.01)	32.32% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 60.95% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94% (

0.09)

41.05% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.55% (

0.09)

63.44% (

-0.09)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.03)

18.99% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-0.05)

50.54% (

0.05)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23% (

0.14)

24.76% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67% (

0.2)

59.33% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Union SG 43.86%

Genk 32.32%

Draw 23.81%

Union SG	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 43.86%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.81%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.32%