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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 18, 2021 at 6pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Real Betis logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Betis


Rioja (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Iglesias (89')
Gonzalez (14')

Preview: Alaves vs. Real Betis - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both Alaves and Real Betis will be looking to return to winning ways in La Liga when they lock horns at Estadio de Mendizorroza on Monday night.

Betis will enter the contest off the back of a 2-0 defeat at Villarreal before the international break, while Alaves suffered a 1-0 loss to Athletic Bilbao last time out.


Match preview

Alaves coach Javier Calleja reacts on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Alaves lost their opening five league matches of the season against Real Madrid, Mallorca, Valencia, Osasuna and Espanyol before recording a 1-0 victory over the champions Atletico Madrid at the end of September.

The Basque outfit could not build on the success over Diego Simeone's side, though, as they suffered a 1-0 defeat to Athletic Bilbao before the international break.

A total of three points from seven matches has left Javier Calleja's side in 19th position in the table, and the fact that they have only scored twice in the league this season is a real concern heading towards the end of the year.

El Glorioso are actually in their sixth straight season at this level of football, but they have ended the last two campaigns in 16th position, and it does appear that they could struggle to stay in the league this term.

Alaves have only won one of their last eight league games against Betis, losing the last two, while they have not beaten the Seville outfit on home soil in Spain's top flight since December 2016.

Real Betis coach Manuel Pellegrini on September 30, 2021© Reuters

Betis, meanwhile, have won three, drawn three and lost two of their opening eight matches of the season to collect 12 points, which has left them down in 10th position in the table.

The Green and Whites won three of their four league matches between September 13 and September 26 but entered the international break off the back of a 2-0 defeat to Villarreal.

Betis are also competing in the group stage of the Europa League this season, and they are in a strong position in Group G, having won their opening two fixtures against Celtic and Ferencvaros.

Manuel Pellegrini's side finished sixth in La Liga last season and will be expecting to challenge high up the division once again; they are only actually five points off the summit at this stage and just two behind fourth-placed Sevilla.

Los Verdiblancos will certainly have their eye on next week's Europa League clash with Bayer Leverkusen but will know the importance of returning to winning ways in Spain's top flight.

Alaves La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Real Betis La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Real Betis form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Real Betis' Nabil Fekir celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 30, 2021© Reuters

Alaves are sweating on the fitness of Edgar Mendez and Florian Lejeune for this match, but the Basque outfit are otherwise in good shape in terms of injuries for this match.

Head coach Calleja is expected to stick with the majority of the side that took to the field against Athletic before the international break, with Luis Rioja and Miguel de la Fuente featuring in the wide areas, so on-loan Manchester United attacker Facundo Pellistri is likely to start on the bench once again.

There could be a change in the centre-forward spot, though, with Joselu potentially coming in for Mamadou Sylla.

As for Betis, Youssouf Sabaly will again miss out through injury, while Victor Ruiz is a doubt, but Sergio Canales is available after a minor problem forced his absence against Villarreal.

Ruiz's fitness problems mean that Edgar Gonzalez should continue in the middle of the defence, while William Carvalho is expected to keep his spot in midfield.

Canales's return could see Juanmi drop down to the bench, with Nabil Fekir moving into a wide area, and Willian Jose again leading the line for the Seville outfit.

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Aguirregabiria, Navarro, Laguardia, Miazga, Duarte; Fuente, Moya, Loum, Rioja; Joselu

Real Betis possible starting lineup:
Silva; Bellerin, Pezzella, Gonzalez, Miranda; Rodriguez, Carvalho; Ruibal, Canales, Fekir; Willian Jose


SM words green background

We say: Alaves 0-1 Real Betis

Alaves's issues in the final third of the field cannot be ignored, and we are finding it difficult to back them to score on Monday night. Betis, though, have a lot of quality in the forward areas, and we are expecting Pellegrini's side to put another three points on the board here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Betis in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Betis

Alaves
13.2%
Draw
14.9%
Real Betis
71.8%
174
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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