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Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Genoa logo

Bologna
0 - 2
Genoa


Schouten (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zappacosta (13'), Scamacca (61' pen.)
Zapata (1'), Shomurodov (46'), Rovella (64')

Preview: Bologna vs. Genoa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bologna host Genoa in Serie A on Wednesday, with the visitors looking to seal their top-flight survival for a 14th successive season.

The hosts, meanwhile, are chasing a top-half finish, with 10th-placed Hellas Verona three points ahead of them in the table.


Match preview

Bologna coach Sinisa Mihajlovic pictured in January 2021© Reuters

Bologna have only finished in the top half of Serie A once in the previous eight seasons, which was after Sinisa Mihajlovic was appointed for his second spell as manager at the club in January 2019, and subsequently achieved a return of 30 points from 17 games to guide them away from danger and into 10th spot.

A similar finish looked to be firmly on the cards this campaign, but only one win in their last seven matches has seen Mihajlovic's side gradually slide down the table, although Sampdoria and Verona remain catchable inside the top half.

Riccardo Orsolini, who was Bologna's top goalscorer in the previous two seasons, converted a late penalty to salvage a point at Udinese on Saturday after Rodrigo De Paul had opened the scoring for the hosts in the 23rd minute.

A win against Genoa on Wednesday would keep I Rossoblu firmly in the mix for a top-half finish, then, especially given that they head to Verona next Monday.

Davide Ballardini, now in charge of Genoa, pictured in January 2018© Reuters

Genoa, meanwhile, have not yet secured their Serie A safety, but Davide Ballardini's side do have a five-point cushion ahead of 18th-placed Benevento, who have lost five of their last six matches and appear to be in freefall.

Wednesday's trip to Bologna represents an excellent opportunity to preserve their top-flight status, with a win enough to do so providing Benevento fail to beat in-form Atalanta as expected.

Ballardini's side have certainly not been short of scoring goals in recent weeks, having not failed to do since a 1-0 defeat to Roma on March 7. However, defensively they have been leaky, conceding four to Lazio and two at home to Sassuolo in recent weeks.

Indeed, former Chelsea man Davide Zappacosta's 85th-minute strike on Sunday proved to be no more than a consolation goal after Giacomo Raspadori and Domenico Berardi had provided the visitors with a comfortable two-goal cushion. Ballardini will be hoping his side can keep it much tighter in Bologna on Wednesday.

Bologna Serie A form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D

Genoa Serie A form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Bologna's Riccardo Orsolini in action with Inter Milan's Dalbert Henrique in Serie A on February 3, 2019© Reuters

Bologna are likely to remain without Nicolas Dominguez, Aaron Hickey, Federico Santander and former Inter Milan midfielder Gary Medel due to injury.

After scoring his sixth league goal of the season, Orsolini will be hoping for a start in attack having only been used from the substitutes' bench in recent weeks.

Genoa, meanwhile, appear to be unable to call upon the services of Domenico Criscito, Luca Pellegrini and Davide Biraschi due to injury.

Given his age, 37-year-old Goran Pandev is unlikely to start two matches in the space of four days, with Gianluca Scamacca hoping for a start in attack.

Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Tomiyasu, Danilo, Soumaoro, Dijks; Schouten, Soriano; Olsen, Vignato, Barrow; Palacio

Genoa possible starting lineup:
Perin; Goldaniga, Zapata, Masiello; Ghiglione, Behrami, Badelj, Zajc, Zappacosta; Scamacca, Destro


SM words green background

We say: Bologna 2-1 Genoa

We can envisage Bologna moving closer to the top half with a narrow win on Wednesday.

It is likely to be an open, entertaining affair, with both sides capable of scoring and conceding goals in the blink of an eye.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Bologna vs Genoa

Bologna
58.0%
Draw
27.5%
Genoa
14.5%
69
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Sassuolo coach Roberto De Zerbi pictured in January 2021
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2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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