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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 2, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Leipzig logo

Borussia M'bach
3 - 1
RB Leipzig

Embolo (17'), Hofmann (45+2', 77')
Stindl (23'), Kone (88'), Neuhaus (90+1'), Hofmann (90+1')
Elvedi (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nkunku (36')
Gvardiol (10'), Simakan (22')

Preview: Borussia Monchengladbach vs. RB Leipzig - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

RB Leipzig return to Bundesliga action at Borussia Monchengladbach on Monday evening looking to strengthen their hold on a top-four place.

The visitors saw their long unbeaten run ended last weekend, before bouncing back with a narrow win in the Europa League on Thursday, whilst the hosts grabbed a late equaliser in a six-goal thriller at Freiburg last time out.


Match preview

Borussia Monchengladbach's Stefan Lainer celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 7, 2022© Reuters

After seeing their brief revival in form ended by Rhine rivals FC Koln a week earlier, Gladbach looked to have provided the perfect response to their derby defeat by taking an early two-goal lead at high-flying Freiburg last weekend.

Ramy Bensebaini netted from the penalty spot inside the opening few minutes, before Breel Embolo struck to double their advantage in a clinical and counter-attacking start.

However, some monumental pressure from their hosts saw Adi Hutter's side collapse to a 3-2 deficit following a poor second half, before captain Lars Stindl stepped off the bench to snatch an equaliser three minutes into stoppage time.

Although the late leveller had a huge impact on their opponents that day, as well as helping out Monday's opponents Leipzig, the result meant very little to Die Fohlen.

A hugely disappointing campaign has left Gladbach in 11th spot heading into matchday 32, and closer to the relegation places than the continental spots in terms of points.

An unusual struggle at Borussia-Park has certainly contributed, with just two wins from their last nine outings in front of their own supporters, but Monday's hosts will look to try and end the season on a high to provide the home faithful with something to shout about in the closing weeks of the Bundesliga campaign.

RB Leipzig's Konrad Laimer celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 2, 2022© Reuters

Whilst the hosts have nothing left to play for in the closing stages of the 2021-22 season, visitors Leipzig continue to fight on three fronts in a hectic final few weeks.

A DFB-Pokal final against Freiburg awaits at the end of May, whilst Thursday's narrow 1-0 victory over Rangers sees Die Roten Bullen take a slender advantage to Glasgow in the second leg of their Europa League semi-final tie next Thursday.

Domenico Tedesco's side once again struggled to return to their free-flowing best against the Scottish champions at the Red Bull Arena, with their opponents frustrating them for long periods and limiting the influential Christopher Nkunku to little in front of goal.

The Frenchman was guilty of missing Leipzig's two best opportunities on the night though, before a late volley from Angelino provided the Bundesliga outfit with the narrow advantage ahead of the second leg on Thursday.

However, attentions must turn back to the Bundesliga ahead of Monday's trip to Gladbach, with Leipzig also having plenty left to play for domestically too.

Last weekend's shock 2-1 defeat to Union Berlin saw Tedesco's men drop to fourth spot in the table, although Gladbach's late leveller against fifth-placed Freiburg meant that their three-point advantage in the Champions League places was only narrowed to two.

The late collapse, with two goals from Union in the final five minutes of normal time, ended Leipzig's 15-game unbeaten run in all competitions, but Monday's visitors will be out to bounce back at Borussia-Park in order to edge closer to confirming a place in next season's Champions League.

Borussia Monchengladbach Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D

RB Leipzig Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

RB Leipzig form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

RB Leipzig coach Domenico Tedesco on April 7, 2022© Reuters

Gladbach will have a vital component of their back three available to them again on Monday, with Matthias Ginter having recovered from an ankle injury that forced him to miss the 3-3 draw with Freiburg.

As a result, only Laszlo Benes and Marcus Thuram are the expected absentees for Hutter to contend with against Leipzig, with the duo remaining unavailable due to thigh and hamstring injuries respectively.

Alassane Plea was forced off with a knock midway through the second half against Freiburg, but the Frenchman is expected to join Embolo in attack once again, with captain Stindl likely to start on the bench as he continues to work his way back to full fitness.

As for the visitors, Tedesco is once again likely to rotate his starting 11 as he looks to manage the fitness of his players during the fight on three fronts.

With no fresh injury concerns arising following Thursday's win, Amadou Haidara is the only expected absentee, so the manager has plenty of strength in depth to choose from ahead of the trip to Borussia-Park.

Mohamed Simakan and Kevin Kampl return to the squad after serving European suspensions in midweek, and the fresh legs of the duo are likely to be thrown in from the start.

Nordi Mukiele could replace Benjamin Henrichs in the wing-back role, whilst Andre Silva may be recalled after starting on the bench against Rangers.

Borussia Monchengladbach possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Ginter, Elvedi, Bensebaini; Lainer, Kone, Neuhaus, Netz; Hofmann, Plea; Embolo

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Simakan, Orban, Gvardiol; Mukiele, Adams, Kampl, Angelino; Forsberg; Silva, Nkunku


SM words green background

We say: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 RB Leipzig

This result could well depend on the character of the hosts to keep on pushing in the final few games of the season despite having little left to play for, as well as the fitness of the visitors in between their Europa League semi-final ties.

However, Gladbach have lacked quality and consistency for much of this season, and although Leipzig are not firing on all cylinders at the moment, they should manage to grind out a narrow victory here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 0-1 (7.55%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Monchengladbach
18.7%
Draw
10.7%
RB Leipzig
70.7%
75
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Borussia Monchengladbach's Matthias Ginter in action in April 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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