[monks data]

Brasileiro | Gameweek 21

Nov 16, 2020 at 11pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Botafogo
1 - 2
Bragantino

Babi (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ytalo (45+1'), Claudinho (86' pen.)
Cuello (45+1'), Ortiz (71'), Helinho (73')

Preview: Botafogo vs. Bragantino - prediction, team news, form guide

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and form guide.

Botafogo play host to Bragantino in a huge match at the bottom end of the Brazilian top flight on Monday.

The home side are winless in six and occupy the final relegation spot, though they are level on points with opponents Bragantino with a game in hand still to play.

Match preview

Botafogo manager Bruno Lazaroni pictured in October 2020 © Reuters

Botafogo have picked up only three wins from 19 matches so far - only bottom side Goias (2) have won fewer - the most recent of those victories coming against Sport Recife a little over a month ago.

The Fogao have slipped into the bottom four and are at risk of seeing the gap between themselves and safety grow on Monday if they fall to a sixth defeat of the campaign.

Botafogo's biggest problem this term has been turning draws into wins, having been held on 11 occasions, including five times in their last eight home matches.

Ramon Diaz's side were incredibly unfortunate to fall to defeat in their last match, though, going down 1-0 to Bahia through Rodriguinho's 99th-minute penalty.

Red Bull Bragantino manager Mauricio Barbieri pictured in October 2020 © Reuters

Bragantino were on the right end of a late goal in their most recent outing as Leo Ortiz scored in the 96th minute against Santos, having earlier put into his own net.

That 1-1 draw ended a three-match losing streak and keeps Mauricio Barbieri's side above the dotted line in what is their first campaign back at this level.

They have failed to win any of their 11 away games since earning promotion, however, losing six and drawing five.

The Red Bull-backed club will have to rectify that if they are to avoid slipping back into the relegation zone, with three points against fellow strugglers Botafogo a great place to start.

Botafogo Brasileiro form: WWLDDL
Botafogo form (all competitions): LDLDDL

Bragantino Brasileiro form: LDWWLD
Bragantino form (all competitions): WWLLLD

Team News

Botafogo

Out: Roberto Fernandez (muscle)
Doubtful: Lucas Barros (knee), Marcinho (knee)

Bragantino

Out: Bruno Tubarao (muscle)

SM words green background

We say: Botafogo 1-1 Bragantino

Bragantino have struggled on their travels this season, while Botafogo have simply struggled in general. The hosts are draw specialists and, on the basis of both sides' recent form, it is hard to see past anything other than a stalemate on Monday.

Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.