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Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 18, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Sporar (53' pen.)
McNair (66'), Taylor (77'), Jones (82'), Hernandez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cahill (43'), Billing (57')

Preview: Middlesbrough vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bournemouth travel to Middlesbrough this weekend looking to end a five-match winless streak in the Championship.

While the visitors currently occupy second place in the standings, Middlesbrough are in ninth position after remaining unbeaten through their last three games.


Match preview

Bournemouth manager Scott Parker on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Up until the November international break, everything pointed to Bournemouth being able to run away with one of the automatic promotion spots this season.

However, just three points have been collected in five games, allowing third-placed West Bromwich Albion to close the gap to just three points.

Bournenmouth's latest setback came at the hands of in-form Blackburn Rovers, who now sit in fourth position and just four points adrift of the Cherries courtesy of the 2-0 win at the Vitality Stadium.

Scott Parker's side also failed to score for the first time in 12 outings, while nine goals have now been conceded over a five-game period.

While Bournemouth have only lost two of their most recent six fixtures, Parker will acknowledge that they travel to the Riverside Stadium with little to no momentum.

Middlesbrough manager Chris Wilder on November 23, 2021© Reuters

The same cannot be said of their hosts with Chris Wilder's side having recorded seven points from a possible nine since November 27.

Wilder is yet to fix Boro's long-standing problems in attack, but he will be more than satisfied with just four efforts being conceded at the other end, two of which have been own goals.

The biggest concern will be that Boro have failed to score a second-half goal in five games since his arrival last month, something which is undermining their efforts at the other end.

Nevertheless, positives will be taken from the goalless draw at Stoke City last weekend, a shutout which has kept the North-East outfit within five points of the playoffs.

Middlesbrough Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Middlesbrough's Dael Fry In action with Blackburn's Bradley Johnson in the Championship on January 24, 2021© Reuters

Dael Fry made his first start for more than two months during the draw at the bet365 Stadium, replacing Sol Bamba who had been impressing in the role.

Fry is likely to keep his spot for this contest, and Wilder will almost certainly stick with the same Boro XI barring any issues with injuries or coronavirus.

Bournemouth midfielder Jefferson Lerma serves the second of his two-match ban, while Steve Cook is a doubt due to a calf problem.

Lloyd Kelly is on standby to feature in the centre of defence, with Gavin Kilkenny and Emiliano Marcondes alternatives in the middle of the pitch.

A recall for either may allow Ryan Christie to move further forward, potentially leading to Jamal Lowe returning to the substitutes' bench.

Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Lumley; Dijksteel, Fry, McNair; Jones, Crooks, Howson, Tavernier, Bola; Watmore, Sporar

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Travers; Stacey, Cahill, Kelly, Brady; L.Cook, Kilkenny, Marcondes; Christie, Solanke, Anthony


SM words green background

We say: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bournemouth

There will be those who feel that Middlesbrough are the marginal favourites for this contest, and it is difficult to argue against that. Nevertheless, Bournemouth will click back into gear at some stage, and they could be full value for a share of the spoils in the North-East.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bournemouth

Middlesbrough
31.7%
Draw
28.6%
Bournemouth
39.7%
63
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Bournemouth's Lloyd Kelly celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on October 23, 2021
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Group A

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Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

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Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

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Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

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Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

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Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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