Bragantino1 - 0Athletico PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
for
Friday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
for
We said: Bragantino 2-1 Athletico Paranaense
While both these sides have been bang-average this season, Bragantino have maintained an impressive home record and are on a three-match winning streak at this venue. This should be a close contest but we fancy the hosts to edge the result by the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bragantino in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bragantino.
Result | ||
Bragantino | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
45.08% ( 0.32) | 26.76% ( 0.2) | 28.16% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 49.07% ( -0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.47% ( -1) | 55.53% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% ( -0.82) | 76.7% ( 0.82) |
Bragantino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( -0.29) | 24.54% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% ( -0.4) | 59.02% ( 0.4) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% ( -0.93) | 34.97% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% ( -0.99) | 71.71% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Bragantino | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.16% |
How you voted: Bragantino vs Athletico PR
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 68 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 27 | 27 | 64 |
3 | FortalezaFortaleza | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 63 |
4 | FlamengoFlamengo | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 59 |
5 | InternacionalInternacional | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 57 |
7 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 47 |
8 | Bahia | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 46 |
9 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 43 |
10 | Atletico Mineiro | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 42 |
11 | Corinthians | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 41 |
12 | Gremio | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Vitoria | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 |
14 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 37 |
15 | Fluminense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 |
16 | CriciumaCriciuma | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 37 |
17 | JuventudeJuventude | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 37 |
18 | BragantinoBragantino | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 36 |
19 | Cuiaba | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 29 |
20 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 26 |
> Brasileiro Full Table |