Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Cruzeiro2 - 1Santos
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 0-3 Cruzeiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Santos had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Santos |
53.39% ( -0.15) | 26.57% ( 0.09) | 20.03% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.86% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.17% ( -0.23) | 60.83% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.13% ( -0.18) | 80.87% ( 0.17) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.17) | 23.02% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.17% ( -0.24) | 56.83% ( 0.23) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.38% ( -0.08) | 45.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.57% ( -0.06) | 81.42% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Cruzeiro 53.38%
Santos 20.03%
Draw 26.56%
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 53.38% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.65% Total : 20.03% |
Form Guide
