Santos

3 - 2

America Mineiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.