Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Newell's OB1 - 0Santos
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Newell's Old Boys and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, April 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Santos 3-2 America Mineiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 42.29%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Santos |
42.29% ( 0.96) | 29.81% ( -0.1) | 27.9% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 40.88% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.23% ( 0.02) | 65.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.57% ( 0.02) | 84.42% ( -0.02) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( 0.57) | 30.88% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.66) | 67.17% ( -0.67) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.7) | 40.85% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.57% ( -0.64) | 77.42% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
Newell's Old Boys 42.28%
Santos 27.89%
Draw 29.81%
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 14.82% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.81% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.89% |
Form Guide
